Today South Africa can celebrate over 1,4 million COVID-19 recoveries in the country, while seeing a decline in Active Cases for 38 consecutive days now.
South Africa (19 February 2021) – South Africa’s recoveries have passed the 1,4 million mark while the country has seen a steady decline in Active Cases for 38 days now!
While the South African Government and many mainstream media News sites push the “total cases”, here at Good Things Guy, we like to look at the same numbers in a different way – a way that breaks down that big number into what it really means! And by doing this, we are able to see that our recoveries far outweigh our active cases.
By breaking it down, we can report that today that we have a total of 46,844 active cases and can celebrate 1,403,214 recoveries!!! Also, we currently have a 96,8% recovery rate in closed cases and are making our way to even more recoveries every single day.
COVID-19 is the greatest global shock in decades. Millions of lives have been lost, and the world’s economy likely faces the worst recession since the 1930s. The resulting loss of employment and income will cause further damage to livelihoods, health, and sustainable development.
The numbers can often seem confusing. As of today, South Africa has conducted 8,807,299 tests and had 1,498,766 total positive results, but positive results change daily as people recover, so even though there have had over 1,4 million positive results, we have also had over 1,4 million recoveries. See confusing.
Here is a different way to report the numbers while still using the same numbers:
- Recoveries: 1,403,214 (3,385 more than yesterday)
- Active Cases: 46,844 (1,288 LESS than yesterday)
- Deaths: 48,708 (230 more than yesterday)
We know that this pandemic is significant, and many will suffer, and we also know not everyone will survive, but the majority of South Africa (and the globe) will recover!
We can also break down the Active Cases further to see where each region stands:
- KwaZulu-Natal – 16,105
- Western Cape – 7,373
- Free State – 7,045
- Gauteng – 5,473
- North West – 4,074
- Northern Cape: 3,014
- Mpumulanga: 1,807
- Limpopo: 1,350
- Eastern Cape: 604
Currently, the Worldometers website states that over 97% of global cases (that are no longer active) have recovered. In comparison, South Africa’s closed recovery rate sits at around 96,8% (closed cases are the recoveries versus deaths after moving from active).
Some people ask why some media houses state that we have a recovery rate of 93,6%, and some state that the recovery rate as 96,8%.
It seems the 93,6% are taking that number from the government reporting who are looking at the total number of positive cases (1,498,766) and then working out the percentage based on the recoveries (1,403,214), but the global standard is to look at the numbers in two separate columns – Active Cases is one number while Closed Cases (recoveries and deaths) is a totally separate number and will give us the true recovery rate.
Once you test positive, you become an Active Case and then after 14 days move to Closed Cases where you either survive as a recovery or tragically pass on – we also understand that there are people with long-covid who still suffer long after they are moved into the recovery space, but unless you are in hospital, then the global standard is to move you into “recoveries” after 14 days.
So looking at it from this point of view, then as of this moment, we have a total death rate of 3,2% in South Africa and a true recovery rate of 96,8% in all closed cases.
Here in South Africa, a COVID-19 support group has been created on Facebook for people who have recovered, and people who are looking for hope. Everyday South Africans are sharing their inspirational recovery stories which really does bring a different perspective to this pandemic.
Societies need to protect themselves, and to recover, as quickly as possible. But we cannot go back to the way we did things before. Increasing numbers of infectious diseases, including HIV/AIDS, SARS and Ebola, have made the jump from wildlife to humans – and all available evidence suggests that COVID-19 has followed the same route. Once human-to-human transmission of COVID-19 began, national and international surveillance and response systems were not strong or fast enough to completely halt transmission. And as infections spread, a lack of universal health coverage has left billions of people, including many in rich countries, without reliable and affordable access to medical treatment. Massive inequalities have meant that deaths and loss of livelihoods have been strongly driven by socioeconomic status, often compounded by gender and minority status.
Attempting to save money by neglecting environmental protection, emergency preparedness, health systems, and social safety nets, has proven to be a false economy – and the bill is now being paid many times over. The world cannot afford repeated disasters on the scale of COVID-19, whether they are triggered by the next pandemic, or from mounting environmental damage and climate change. Going back to “normal” is not good enough.
In adversity, the crisis has also brought out some of the best in our societies, from solidarity among neighbours, to the bravery of health and other key workers in facing down risks to their own health to serve their communities, to countries working together to provide emergency relief or to research treatments and vaccines. The “lockdown” measures that have been necessary to control the spread of COVID-19 have slowed economic activity, and disrupted lives – but have also given some glimpses of a possible brighter future. In some places, pollution levels have dropped to such an extent that people have breathed clean air, or have seen blue skies and clear waters, or have been able to walk and cycle safely with their children – for the first times in their lives. The use of digital technology has accelerated new ways of working and connecting with each other, from reducing time spent commuting, to more flexible ways of studying, to carrying out medical consultations remotely, to spending more time with our families. Opinion polls from around the world show that people want to protect the environment, and preserve the positives that have emerged from the crisis, as we recover.
Let’s hope that the lockdown in South Africa has achieved the same great results from around the world. And as always, thank you to all the incredible frontline heroes who are helping us get through this.